Ahmed al-Shalafi

The Iranian aircraft incident has exposed a fragile calm that may not survive a wider regional escalation.

There are two currents within the Houthis: one favouring caution, and another favouring commitment to allies.

As the regional conflict escalates, Abdel-Malik al-Houthi faces a strategic choice: intervene or stay out.

Security fragmentation and regional rivalries are reshaping power in southern Yemen.